National situation ---- Beyond the pantomime of the internal (La Cámpora) or
external (Cambiemos) opposition to the Government of Alberto Fernández, thepolitical class is only debating the forms and words that will adorn theagreement with the Fund. The content is not under discussion: the sacrifice ofthe people "must go to honor the debt contracted by the national State". ---- Inour last analysis we had already anticipated that the agreement with the IMF"could not have guidelines on economic policy for the coming years." Well, we arealready beginning to see the results of these imposed measures. In the midst of asignificant increase in poverty and the cost of living, Alberto has alreadyannounced a cap on the number of social plans -1,200,000. Even Minister Zabaletathreatened to "purify" the registers of those who are not making a "consideration."Another expression of the IMF's interference in Argentina has to do with theremoval of subsidies to services, which will have a direct impact on exponentialincreases in rates. We are already experiencing this with the Government'sauthorization for gas companies to increase by up to 20% already this March. Inthe background, companies are bidding for increases of up to 80% in the run-up tothe autumn-winter period, something similar to what is about to happen withelectricity.All this takes place while the US reaffirmed the payment conditions of that debtwith a higher rate, which represents hefty interest as a "punishment" to thecountry for the size of the debt contracted. At the same time, the reserves ofthe Central Bank are depleted every day to contain exchange speculation,suggesting the image of a government more concerned with pleasing theestablishment than with giving a hand to the popular sectors.In another order, the recent news that wages beat year-on-year inflation (53.4%against 50.9%), announced by the Government as "own success", was not such,neither one thing nor the other. On the one hand, it is necessary to reveal thatit was only a few unions that managed to beat inflation and not the bulk ofworkers in the formal sector. On the other hand, the underemployed and theunregistered - the bulk of the workers in the entire country - barely achievedincreases of up to 40% in the last year. But let's go back to that handful ofguilds that managed to beat the level of inflation. Here we see that only wineworkers, teachers and the judiciary from Buenos Aires, Neuquén state workers,railway workers and banks (7 unions) were the only ones who experienced 50.9%year-on-year inflation, while the rest of the unions throughout the country hadincreases below that number. Finally, those sectors that shook the parity toexceed it or at least approach inflationary levels, did so without the permissionof the Government, which at the end of 2020 conditioned the parity forecasting ayear-on-year inflation of 29% by 2021. On the contrary, these unions somehowplanted a flag due to pressure from the organized bases, and mobilized in some cases.Already in January we had drawn attention to the great drought and the increasein forest fires in numerous provinces of the country, at that time Río Negro asthe most affected. At the same time we noticed an inoperative and lethargicnational State, expression of a centralist political-administrative system,fundamentally concerned about what happens in CABA and the Greater Buenos Aires.Since mid-January, the provinces of Misiones and, above all, Corrientes have beenthe scene of large-scale fires. Over the days and weeks, as the fire becameuncontrollable, a calamity scenario could be seen in large rural areas, affectinghomes, crops and the habitat of numerous animal and plant species. But thenational government only reacted on February 19, after the Buenos Aires mediareflected such a catastrophe, sending some brigade members, fire trucks andtanker planes among other aid. By then, local volunteers and from variousprovinces had already come to show solidarity. This painful situation once againhighlighted not only the apathy of the State, the political class and the privatesector, but on the contrary, the importance of popular organization when it comesto defending natural resources and facing an environmental catastrophe.Impact of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict in ArgentinaWe cannot delve into the causes that gave rise to this war in Russia and Ukraine,perhaps with an inter-imperialist projection between Russia, NATO and the US -surprising at least for this part of the world - but we can point out some of itscauses and hypotheses of conflict, as well as we are interested in seeing itsimpact at the local and regional level.Regarding the first, we can say that the war promoted by Russia has bothgeopolitical and economic roots. Russia, historically a country with animperialist projection, somehow tries to generate an impact in the region bydisciplining the surrounding territories, even with expansive intentions. This isalso related to the fact that many peoples of the former USSR that remained onthe other side of the borders (Ukraine, Moldova, etc.) still claim the right toself-determination and the interest of belonging to Russia again. From the opposite path, both the European Union and NATO have not stoppedadvancing with trade agreements, bases and military exercises, from the bordersof Eastern Europe to the gates of Russia. An example of this has to do with thefact that NATO did not stop sending weapons and troops to train the Ukrainianmilitary. With regard to the United States, a country that has suffered aninternal social and political breakdown since the last elections, and is facingan economic recession, it again appeals to patriotism and a possible external warto raise the arms industry and generate a sense of unity in after the weakpolitical project of the Biden government. On the economic front, the US knowsthat if the deal fails over the Russian gas pipeline that supplies gas to Germanyand other parts of Europe,But the impact of this conflict on our region - if it continues over time - willhave direct consequences, at least in the economic sphere. The first datareleased by the bombing of Kiev, in addition to the falls in the world's stockmarkets, have to do with the increase in the price of oil. Certainly, in theshort term increases in the price of gas and other energy resources are expected.On the other hand, there was already an impact on the price of commodities, wheresoybeans and other primary products began to rise, which will benefit theagricultural and agro-exporting sectors, but will further sink the purchasingpower of the popular sectors due to the direct increase in food prices. In thisframework, tariff hikes in services and a continuity in inflation are expected,Popular struggle to face what is coming From this panorama, two hypotheses arise to be taken into account by ourmilitancy and the popular field. In the short term, what is urgent must be aimedat preparing a scenario of unanimous rejection of the consequences of theagreement between the national State and the IMF. His attempt to get approval inCongress must contrast with an immense mobilization of unions and socialorganizations in the streets that puts this agreement between those at the top incheck, perhaps using the recent experience of resistance during the days ofDecember 2017, when Macri and the Congress imposed the anti-popular pensionreform in the midst of a thick climate that made their governability tremble. Wemust bear in mind that in an international scenario of armed conflict such as theone described above, the political class, the business community and thefinancial power will try to cushion the blow, making those below pay for thelosses. On the other hand, in the medium term, the dynamics of popularmobilization must "mark the field" for the political sector that tries to succeedAlberto and Cristina -certainly the current radical-liberal opposition-. Thedemonstrations of struggle, unity and organization that we promote today to stopthe adjustment of the Government-IMF pact and the local consequences of the warcrisis, are necessary steps to limit the deepening of the adjustment that willcome tomorrow.Anarchist Federation of Rosariohttps://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=374644304663810&id=100063547308480http://federacionanarquistaderosario.blogspot.com/2022/03/lucha-popular-para-enfrentar-lo-que-se.html_________________________________________A - I N F O S N E W S S E R V I C EBy, For, and About AnarchistsSend news reports to A-infos-en mailing listA-infos-en@ainfos.caSPREAD THE INFORMATION
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