The Mediterranean basin is regaining that global centrality that had
distinguished it over the past centuries or rather over the past millennia. The"mare nostrum" has always been one of the two traffic terminals on the East-Westaxis. Today that historic meeting point is re-emerging on the world stage. Theactors can only be different but the play is paradoxically the same. TheMediterranean has been and is the pivot of geopolitical and geoeconomic balancesand the Italian peninsula represents its central natural platform. If thegeographical centrality of the Mediterranean basin (with Italy equidistant fromthe two outlets that of Gibraltar and that of the Bosphorus) is its historicalvalue, energy and the new (always in evolution) modalities of world trade are theelements of news. The Mediterranean has figuratively expanded its borders inrecent years. Geoeconomics and geopolitics now draw a triangle whose apex isrepresented by the Italian peninsula, the east side which runs along the Atlanticcoast to the Gulf of Guinea, the base which extends as far as the Strait ofHormuz and then completes with the left side going up along the Middle East andrejoining the summit. This geographical portion contains 70% of all fossil energy(gas and oil) known and used today. Energy is one of the fundamental factors inthe equation that has characterized world events for decades: Energy + Profit =War. It is no coincidence that most of the conflicts of recent decades have hadthis "energy triangle" as a stage. It is no coincidence that almost all ofItaly's foreign missions (currently 45) take place in this portion of the globe.Finally, it is no coincidence that even the last conflict (Russian-Ukrainian) hasDonbass as its strategic node, the Odessa region and the Black Sea basin, i.e.the transit and landing route for energy from Russia and the Transcaucasus in theMediterranean . In other words, whoever holds the keys to the energy "treasurechest" has a good chance of determining the global flows of raw materials and goods.Italy plays a leading role, or rather to be more precise, ENI, the NationalHydrocarbons Authority, is the real protagonist. The script of the militarymissions is only apparently or rather technically interpreted by the Armed Forcesbut the real "operating room" is not located at the Ministry of Defense or at theFarnesina but in the Board of Directors of Enel in San Donato Milanese. Two data,simple in their reading, and equally explanatory in explaining the overlapping ofENI's industrial apparatus with the dislocation of the good majority of ourforeign military missions. ENI extracts 1.8 million barrels of crude oil everyday, of which 1.4 come from the "energy triangle", the share of gas is even moresignificant, 90% of the gas extracted daily by the "six-legged dog" comes fromthis geographic area. It goes without saying that the control of this "energyellipse" determines the location of foreign operations. Finally, it is nocoincidence that the new five international missions have gone to strengthen theeastern side of the energy triangle. From the South-Eastern European basin (tocounter Russian expansionism) to the South, in Qatar, (one of the numericallymore consistent new missions with 500 elements). If this is the picture of the"Enlarged Mediterranean" in a nutshell, it is no wonder that tactics and strategymust adapt to the new "energy horizons". From this point of view, Italy, in thefootsteps of the original legacy of Mattei (the founder of ENI and the father ofItalian foreign policy in the Middle Eastern territories), is pursuing the"all-out" business path. ENI's foreign policy is paying off very well. Netprofits, in the first nine months of 2022, amounted to 10 billion euros with anincrease of 311%.To understand the guidelines of the national economic and strategic foreignpolicy it is necessary to refer to the Multi-year Planning Document (lastpublished last August), in which, beyond the technical details of the foreignmissions and arms investments, there is represented the director of nationalforeign policy. This document explains the most meaningful observations on the"energy ellipse". We cite the most significant passages. Central is thereflection on instability, no longer the exclusive product of the competition ofindividual states but also on the part of non-statutory "big players", first ofall, the large multinational companies whose economic weight has grown to such anextent as to assume also in geopolitical and geostrategic terms. It should benoted that these subjects "in terms of size and/or ability to act, express ageopolitical weight comparable to, and sometimes greater than, that of states".These observations lead to a completely new strategic conclusion, i.e. "the lossof relevance of the traditional reference international organizations withWestern traction (NATO and the European Union in primis) and the multipolar driftthat seems to characterize global geopolitical dynamics, with new alliances"variable geometry" sustained more by contingent interests than by actualaffinities (for example that between China and Russia).If these are the factors that give substance to the equation Energy + Profit =War, there is another completely new element that is transforming the role of theMediterranean. The Mare Nostrum is turning into a Middle Ocean or a globalcommodity HUB. The coincidence of the technical evolution of transport, fromsuper containers, to the digitization of goods traffic is profoundly changing therole of the Mediterranean. Digital allows us to modulate the production of goods,increasingly conceived in the logic of just on time (I produce only what is inthe sales forecast). Not only is digital technology profoundly changinginternational traffic, the other fundamental element that ensures the MiddleOcean the leading role of international traffic is the intermodality oftransport. The digitization of port facilities, super containers are only part ofthe goods distribution process. These innovations gain strength thanks to theconnection of maritime transport with the European High Speed networks. TheCommunity institutions, already at the time of the Maastricht Treaty, designedthe nine high-speed corridors, the so-called TENs, corridors that extend fromEast to West and above all from South to North. In the design and construction ofthe TEN network, the Mediterranean is central considering that of the nineroutes, six have the Mediterranean or rather the Middle Ocean as their outlet.The equation Energy + Profit = War must be completed with the other variable,that of the circulation of goods. Beyond the innovations and transformations, theresult has always remained the same, profit for the few, precariousness, theuncertainty of the future and the difficulties of the present for many.Daniel Rattihttps://www.sicilialibertaria.it/_________________________________________A - I N F O S N E W S S E R V I C EBy, For, and About AnarchistsSend news reports to A-infos-en mailing listA-infos-en@ainfos.ca
Geen opmerkingen:
Een reactie posten