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zondag 12 november 2023

WORLD WORLDWIDE ITALY News Journal Update - (en) Italy, UCADI #177: Which Government for Spain (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

 

The prime minister in charge Pablo Sánchez is preparing to present his
government to Parliament, after the failure of the PPE: to do so he mustresolve the problem of amnesty for the insurgents of Catalonia: thevotes of the two Catalan regional parties are essential to set up themajority. The amnesty is opposed not only by the PPe, but also Vox andnationalists across Spain who are not willing to pay this price. Sanchezhas the consensus of Sumar, a platform of 15 progressive forces led bythe current Minister of Labor, Yolanda Díaz; he managed to negotiatesupport for the Government with the other regional parties in exchangefor concessions that concern the interests of the territories theyrepresent, but Junts for Catalunya (JuntsxCat), a centre-right Catalanindependence party, is still outside of the agreements.The "linguistic prejudicial" posed by the many regional parties wassatisfied, as part of the agreement for the election of the Presidencyof Parliament, when on 20 September, with the debut of the chamber'swork, the so-called express reform passed, for which today the languagesco-official, are, in addition to Castilian, Basque, Catalan andGalician, the real stumbling blocktoday is the amnesty for the events in Catalonia in 2017, which theright absolutely does not want to grant.On the other hand, in the imminence of the European elections, theinternational protection granted to Puigdemont, former President of theCatalan autonomy, as he was elected to the European Parliament, is aboutto expire and exposes him to possible arrest by the Spanish justicesystem. But the issue does not only concern the Catalan leader, becausethere are a thousand municipal and autonomic officials investigated orsent to trial for having followed the instructions of political leaders,which means having to proceed with the holding of trials for years andthe continuous re-proposal of a fracture that no longer serves even thePPe, nor the Catalan independentists, and actually prevents everyonefrom governing on the whole.These are charges with which national and European courts are forced todeal, having rejected extradition requests for the pro-independenceleaders, judging the crime hypotheses to be exaggerated and not findingequivalents in their legislation that would allow the judges to rule.Not only that, but the legal proceedings will soon be examined by theEuropean Court of Human Rights. Therefore, to bring the Catalan questionback to political management, something is needed, such as an amnesty,which may or may not be a referendum, or legislative measures thatcannot be dismantled by judges and checks on legitimacy andconstitutionality, as has already happened, and that they bring themanagement of the issue back to politics.It must be taken into account that the Catalan independence parties, inthe last regional elections in February 2021, had together exceeded 50%of the votes; the ERC had obtained 21.3% of the votes, JuntsxCat 20%,the far-left United Popular Candidacy (CUP) 6.6%. In total the threeparties had obtained 74 seats,significantly exceeding the absolute majority of 68 deputies in theregional Parliament. They were therefore able to form the regionalgovernment, but if you look at the results of the political electionslast July, Sánchez proved to be the only one capable of managing tocontain Catalan autonomy, so much so that he reduced the consensus ofthe secessionist parties in the region at just 20%, proof is that thetrue recognized winner of the elections in Catalonia is the PSOE whichhas proven to be the only political force capable of managing theautonomist demand today, reducing it.The question of amnestyThe national vote on 23 July marked the end of bipartisanship in Spain.The vote resulted in a fragmented Parliament in which neither of the twomain parties, nor of the two blocs, can govern independently. Theabsolute majority is 176 seats out of 350, but starting from the secondvote it is enough that the yes votes exceed the no votes; Feijóo leaderof the Right has 172 - PPe (137), Vox (33) and difficulty findingothers. Sánchez has 152 - Psoe (121) and Sumar (31) - but has securedthe support of Coalición Canaria (Cc, 1), of the Unión del PuebloNavarro (UPN, 1), of Esquerra republicana de Catalunya (Erc , 7), EHBildu (6), Partido nacionalista Vasco (Pnv, 5) and Bloque Nacionalgallego (Bng, 1), but to reach the majority, Sánchez needs the votes ofJunts (6), with whom the negotiation is ongoing and concerns amnesty.In this situation, an amnesty law, the recognition and respect for the"democratic legitimacy" of the Catalan independence movement and thecreation of a mechanism for verifying the future political agreements ofthe autonomous communities with Madrid are among the main preconditionsposed by the Catalans who not only right-wingers have described it as"political blackmail" to the Spanish central state, but also some oldsocialist leaders.Amnesty and pardon to those involved in the events of October 2017 and areferendum on the self-determination of Catalonia, however, are the twomain preconditions that JXCat places to vote in favor of the Sánchezgovernment.The right, crying betrayal, so much so that Feijóo arrived at Parliamentin a procession and seemed to see a sort of "Fourth Estate" - in tie anddesigner clothes - imposing its presence, a political response must begiven. The EPP leader was flanked by mayors and presidents of theEPP-led autonomous communities, he advanced, marshaling the strength ofthe territories against a future government to make it clear that hisopposition will be very harsh. For him, on the other hand, it is anobligatory path to recover consensus, even in his party, compared to thePresident of the Comunidad de Madrid, Isabel Díaz Ayuso (PPe), hispolitical rival for the leadership of the EPP and considered more rightof him.Sánchez and Sumar's allies point out to the old leaders of the PSOE, whoconsider the proposed blackmail unacceptable, that it is not the firsttime that to overcome the political stalemate and the transformation ofthe political conflict into a judicial one, Spain has resorted toamnesty. The law passed during Spain's transition to democracy providedan amnesty for political prisoners under the dictatorship of FranciscoFranco and a wide range of crimes that could be pardoned, includingpolitical acts, rebellion and sedition - colon particularlycontroversial in the current "Catalonia debate". The text also grantedamnesty to authorities, officials and law enforcement officers who hadcommitted crimes in pursuit of political acts or had violated "therights of individuals," along with other crimes.This is what was pointed out, in turn, by the Catalan separatist leaderCarles Puigdemont, self-exiled in Belgium since 2017, of the Junts PerCatalunya (JXCat) party, who last week set out his conditions forstarting negotiations with Sánchez and pave the way for a new mandatefor the socialist candidate.A government short of breathHow long will a government with such a complicated majority and suchprecarious internal relations last?The opposition from Feijóo, from the Madrid media system, will be - aswe have said - very harsh and with no holds barred, aimed at wearingdown Sánchez, but useful, at the same time - at keeping the PPetogether. Sánchez's strength lies in the fact that if his governmentlacks the necessary support, Spain will probably have to call newelections by January 14, 2024, and at the moment no one wants this.Whether it is a measure that could be an amnesty or whether it is calledthis or otherwise, sooner or later, something that may or may not be areferendum will establish the path to bringing the Catalan question backto politics. All of this, without legislative loopholes that can bedismantled by judges and by checks on legitimacy and constitutionalityand on the condition that requests such as those coming from somepro-independence sectors, which are inadmissible and suicidal such asthose for crimes that have nothing to do with politics, are notaccepted. , such as that of false accounting and public deeds forcontracts awarded to friends, such as those for which the formerpresident of Parliament Laura Borràs was convicted.What seems certain is that the PSOE, with Sánchez, has managed tointerpret the new times, while the PPe is beginning to see very keenlythe iceberg constituted by the fact that to deal with the crisis ofbipartisanship the People's Party has resorted to alliance with theultra-right, claiming to play the role of a party with a majorityvocation and not calculating that its growth would have occurred at theexpense of Vox itself, putting into crisis that right-wing formationthat its old leader José María Aznar has strongly desired andcontributed to creating with his Foundation for Social Analysis andStudies (FAES), precisely with the aim of influencing from the outside,by moving it to the right, the People's Party of which he had lostcontrol and hoped to regain for through his protégé, the president ofthe Community of Madrid Isabel Díaz Ayuso. In other words, Feijóopersists in being the leader of a party that is only partly his, asevidenced by the fact that the day after the electoral victory, themilitants, under the balcony on which the leadership of the victoriousparty was performing, were the Ayuso that they called for!But there are also many obstacles on Sánchez's path, so much so that, atpresent, the most probable outcome of this race for government is newelections. However, the fact remains that Sánchez has proven to be afighter capable of mobilizing his voters and contributing significantlyto the fortunes of the left in Europe, helping to stem the advance ofpopulism and the right with a left alternative , albeit reformist, withregards to the protection of rights, material conditions, wages, workand the social state. In any case, his comeback in consensus and theelectoral outcome contributes significantly to keeping the debate openon the definition of the majority in Europe after the upcomingelections. And these days that's no small thing!G. C.https://www.ucadi.org/2023/10/21/quale-governo-per-la-spagna/_________________________________________A - I N F O S  N E W S  S E R V I C EBy, For, and About AnarchistsSend news reports to A-infos-en mailing listA-infos-en@ainfos.ca

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