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vrijdag 17 november 2023

WORLD WORLDWIDE ITALY News Journal Update - (en) Italy, FDCA, Il Cantiere #21: Assault on the dollar - Giovanni Cimbalo* (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

 

The XV Brics summit (an acronym formed from the initials of the foundingcountries of the organization Brazil, India, Russia, China, SouthAfrica) was held in Johannesburg from 22 to 24 August. The leaders of 67countries and representatives of the main international organizations,as well as representatives of the world of international economics. 23requests for new memberships, 6 "full members" admitted from January 1,2024: Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United ArabEmirates. With the entry of the new members, the Brics countries "willrepresent 36% of global GDP and 47% of the population of the entireplanet". A heterogeneous group of nations that are committed toestablishing an equal partnership between countries that have differentpoints of view, but a shared vision for a better, multipolar world, andshare a declared goal: the de-dollarization of trade at on a globallevel, proof of this is that in trade between the five Brics countriesduring 2022 the use of the American currency amounted to only 28.7% ofthe total. During the meeting the five members of the Brics reached aagreement on the guiding principles, standards, criteria and proceduresof the expansion process of the group of emerging economies. "We havereached a consensus on the first phase of this expansion process,"underlined the South African President, who chaired the summit, addingthat the leaders of the various countries have instructed their financeministers and central bank governors to consider the issue of the use oflocal currencies as payment instruments and of commercial exchangeplatforms as instruments of de-dollarization, instructing them to reportto the Brics leaders themselves at the next summit on the possibility ofadopting a common trading currency. Reiterating the need to move in thisdirection the President of Brazil proposed to strengthen the Bank of theBrics countries to make it «stronger than the International MonetaryFund (IMF), enabling it to guarantee loans for the development andcreation of a common currency, finding the support - granted - of hisdolphin and former Brazilian president Dilma Rousseff, who arrived inJohannesburg in the role of head of the New Development Bank of theBRICS, the New Development Bank, the international banking fund based inShanghai created by the Brics on 14 July 2014 in the meeting ofFortaleza (and chaired by her). The Bank plans to start lending in SouthAfrican and Brazilian currencies as part of a plan to reduce dependenceon the dollar and promote a more multipolar international financialsystem. The Brics bank has also sought to distinguish itself from theWorld Bank and the International Monetary Fund by not establishing listsof policy conditions on loans. This is one of the conditions with whichto make its services attractive. However, in the official agenda of thesummit in recent days there was no mention of the construction of acommon anti-dollar currency, but the question is being studied by thevarious partners. Certainly Saudi Arabia's membership of theorganization, which has opened the negotiations to become a new memberof the Multilateral Bank, introduces the presence of a country that hasimmense capital reserves, and the same goes for other members such asthe United Arab Emirates which certainly will not deny their support tothe new banking institution. Strength and weakness of the BRICS Thecurrent enlargement of the BRICS, born in 2001 as a group of countriesthat share a developing economic situation and have abundant strategicnatural resources, are characterized by strong GDP growth and hold asignificant share of the World trade has a precedent in the entry ofSouth Africa in 2010 and now knows a further development that insertsinto the group. Countries such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emiratesand Iran which are among the largest producers of fossil fuels; thisinclusion allows the group to control a large part of the world'sproduction of crude oil and natural gas. It should also be rememberedthat among the candidate countries there is Venezuela whose entry intothe organization is considered imminent. In this way the majority of oiland gas producing countries would be part of the organization whichwould thus have the possibility of guide the production and marketing ofthis important raw material. The rapid entry of Argentina into theorganization was explicitly desired by the President of Brazil Lula, whoin this way wanted to send a signal to all of Latin America, takingcharge of a country that finds itself experiencing an economiccontingency difficult, with very high inflation, and this despite thefact that it has immense resources and wealth, evidently poorly used andpoorly managed. The less we understand the reasons that led theorganization to admit to its membership countries such as Ethiopia andEgypt which do not seem to present characteristics that would arouse theinterest of the Brics at first sight, unless it is concluded for thechoice to give a signal of attention to African countries and to framethe admission within the scope of the policy of good neighborliness withthe poor part of the world. There are those who wanted to see in theBRICS an alternative to the G7 and an instrument of opposition to the"West. If this is true for Russia and China, it is certainly not so forIndia which strives on every occasion to remember that the spirit withwhich the Brics operate is to collaborate for a more harmoniousfunctioning of the world economy and to give trade and exchanges betweendifferent economies a greater balance. The same goes for other countriesthat operate within the organization, but the fact is that the BRICSmodel today represents an alternative to a economy dominated by thedollar and the terms of trade set by the most advanced economies of theWest. Certainly the growth of this aggregation can only enhance thetransformation of international balances, making them evolve in thedirection of a multipolar world within which countries such as China,Russia and India play a certainly new role. In particular, the expansionof the organization demonstrates Russia's ever decreasing isolation atan international level, especially since at the meeting in Johannesburgit assured that it will provide 50,000 tonnes of wheat free of charge tosix African countries, including the Burkina Faso, Mali, Eritrea andother African countries, presumably in the Sahel area, where Russia'sstrategic interests in Africa are concentrated. Furthermore, the Russiangovernment stated: "This year we expect to export around 55 milliontonnes according to our harvest plans. This figure can be adjustedupwards during the harvest. If we see that our harvest forecasts interms volumes of cereals are growing, we will also adjust the figure interms of export volumes." Confirmation of these statements by Russiacomes from the observation that last week, Kenya began processing 34,000tons of condensate for fertilizers, supplied free of charge by Russia inMay. According to local media, this condensate will be used to produce100,000 tons of finished products, which will be allocated as subsidizedinputs to farmers, gaining support for the donor. Outlook anddevelopment In China's intentions, the BRICS countries "should becompanions on the path of development and revitalization and opposedecoupling and the breakdown of supply chains and economic coercion." Itshould be remembered that after Johannesburg, Algeria, Bangladesh,Bahrain, Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Honduras, Indonesia, Kazakhstan,Kuwait, Palestine, Nigeria, Senegal, Thailand, Venezuela, Vietnam remainon the waiting list, while further requests cannot be ruled outmembership to the extent that the policies practiced by the organizationwill prove effective in guaranteeing development financing through theBank that they themselves founded and through the cooperation policiesestablished. It should also be noted that China is present in many ofthese countries with massive investments, especially in infrastructuresthat facilitate the development of these countries, but at the same timelink them to the Chinese economy. The consequence is that the multipolarworld is now a reality and the West and the United States in particularhave only take note of it, waiting to see the role of the dollar as thecornerstone of the world monetary system increasingly undermined. Ifthis were to happen we would find ourselves faced with the end of apositional rent for the US economy that dates back at least to the endof the Second World War and which will pose many problems by upsettingthe operating rules of both monetary and global trade. What is happeningcan only have adverse effects on the European Union and its economywhich will be called upon to choose which side to take. The role ofvassalage towards the American economy, as well as that of privilegedpartnership towards the US economy, is destined to wane and the newbalances will be difficult to draw because it will be necessary to dealwith a completely new and currently unpredictable. German industry knowssomething about this and must decide how to behave with its exports toChina and how to deal with the growth in competitiveness of goodsproduced in the BRICS countries. Mario Draghi, former president of theECB and former Italian prime minister, warned in a recent statementgiven to the Economist in relation to Europe's future problems: "Thestrategies that have ensured Europe's prosperity and security in thepast - dependence on America for security, on China for exports and onRussia for energy - have become insufficient, uncertain or unacceptable.In this new world, paralysis is clearly unsustainable for citizens,while the radical option of leaving the EU has produced decidedly mixedresults. Creating a closer union will ultimately prove to be the onlyway to guarantee the security and prosperity so desired by Europeancitizens." The new scenarios At a time when we hypothesize impossiblescenarios of evolution of economic and commercial relations at we do notwant to formulate a value judgement, but we limit ourselves exclusivelyto ascertaining the trend lines on the basis of which the new majorplayers in international economic policy move, destined to become actorsof a new power politics that are neither worse nor better than theWestern capitalist powers that preceded them, nor than the groups ofstates and powers that survive in the European and North Americanscenario and which will continue to operate to perpetuate theexploitation of the weak part of the world, at all latitudes. lookcarefully, the new BRICS aggregate includes countries governed byregimes that certainly do not shine for their openness to civilliberties, just think of Saudi Arabia, Iran, the United Arab Emiratesand, why not, China, Russia , to India. The atrocities of the SaudiArabian government are all too well known: it is enough to recall themurder of the journalist Cassogi and the repression of civil libertiesin the country, while its role in supporting the politics of the Wahhabimovements in the world and even of the jihadist movements is well known;what can we say about Iran where for more than a year there has been aferocious repression of women and their most basic freedoms, while thereis class exploitation carried out by a clerical society managed by aretrograde and obtuse clergy. Even the United Arab Emirates certainly donot shine for civil liberties, nor for that of women, nor for the rightsof workers, exploited to the point of causing their death, in a totalabsence of the most basic guarantees of safety at work and protection ofworkers' rights. As for China, the country's civil liberties have beensacrificed on the altar of the achieved well-being of the populationwhich, moreover, experiences growing inequalities and an ever-increasingconcentration of wealth in the hands of a bourgeois elite which nowconstitutes the backbone of the country . The famous phrase in itsConstitution which describes the Chinese state as an entity governed byan alliance between peasant workers and the national bourgeoisie is,certainly, today unbalanced in favor of the power exercised by thelatter class component. What can we say about Russia, where the Putindictatorship is leading the country to disaster and where thepan-Russian vision of power supported by the Russian Orthodox Church andbased on the close alliance between State and Church is increasinglyimposing itself, where the Church provides the ideological cover forpolitics of expansion and power of the State, with the total sacrificeof civil liberties and the imposition of traditional and regressivevalues which destroy the most basic rights of citizenship. Among themembers of the BRICS, India stands out for its role and presence,governed by the policy of Hindutva, the nationalist ideology on whichPrime Minister Modi's political vision is based, based on the motto"Hindu, Hindi, Hindustan".: a religion, Hinduism, a language, Hindi, fora land consecrated to a homogeneous national community and whosedomination must belong to a well-defined lineage: the Hindu one. Theanalysis, albeit brief, of the member countries ends with Ethiopiagoverned by a government that has made its own the "theology ofprosperity" of the evangelical Churches, perverting the tradition andnature of the country as well as Egypt whose dictatorial and criminaltendencies of government are well known.An exception seems to be represented by South Africa which, afterdifficult choices, is moving towards a development policy which ishowever not without shadows and above all by Brazil which under Lula'smanagement seems to have rediscovered that impetus towards open socialpolicies and towards environmental protection and which is trying tolead Argentina in crisis along this path. In these countries, regardlessof how the various governments are classified, the subordinate classesare exploited to pursue a policy of concentrating wealth in the hands ofa few, to perpetuate the slavery of wage labor, which is alsocharacterized by wages that are often below subsistence thresholds. Justthink of the working conditions practiced in India to shudder whencompared with similar situations but perhaps of more attenuated andrefined exploitation in Western countries. In fact, we would not likeour analysis which notes the evolution of the economic and politicalsituation to give the impression of satisfaction with what is happening,for a second-hand Third Worldism, exhaustive of class reasons, whichenjoys the end of hegemony of the West in the economic and politicalfields. Unfortunately, the evolution and development of the forms ofState and government remains highly punitive of the interests of theexploited classes and tends to perpetuate class domination andcapitalist exploitation with forms that see changing only theconfiguration of the main actors who hold the levers of power but keepclass exploitation intact. The solution must be sought in a new andstrong internationalism, based on class solidarity and on theconstruction of institutional legal systems that guarantee a fairdistribution of resources, access for all workers to the goods producedand the beautiful things of life, the way that everyone is allowed toaccess resources to satisfy their needs. This function is becomingincreasingly possible today on the basis of the evolution of productioncapabilities, new technologies, a more careful vision of the resourcesoffered by the planet, the need to respect nature for a rational use ofresources in order to fairly satisfy needs of all.*Political Growth N.176 September 23 - UCADI Newsletter (Union ofAnarchist Communists of Italy)Construction site no. 21 November 2023 ilcantiere@autistici.orghttp://alternativalibertaria.fdca.it/_________________________________________A - I N F O S  N E W S  S E R V I C EBy, For, and About AnarchistsSend news reports to A-infos-en mailing listA-infos-en@ainfos.ca

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