WORLD WORLDWIDE ITALY News Journal Update - (en) Italy, UCADI, #181: The electoral orgy (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

2024 is a year of election deadlines; it seems that 64 countries will go
to the polls, liberal, self-styled democratic, dictatorial states. For
each of them it is said that it is the triumph of democratic
participation and citizens' choices, the orgy of participation and
sharing of power, the renewal of the mandate to govern. In reality we
are faced with a farce, a drama that hides the fact that those who
firmly hold the levers of power are the capitalist and oligarchic groups
of the various state aggregates that control the economic and political
life of the societies that own them . Citizens of the European Union and
those of the United States, Great Britain, Russia and many other states
are called to vote.
Even if we are faced with a formal renewal of the mandate of the
political elites who manage power, there is no doubt that the choices
that will be made will have a significant impact on the development of
economic and political events because the electoral result constitutes a
tool for selecting the ruling groups, expression of the different groups
that compete for power. It is therefore worth examining the declared
programs and strategies of the various forces that aim to manage the
interests and political choices of the various states competing for
hegemony on a global level.

The renewal of the Presidency of the United States

For the lessons of the President of the United States we will vote on
November 5, but primaries are already taking place in January to
identify the candidates who will go to the ballot, in compliance with
the US electoral system. There is no doubt that many of the current
events, first of all the war in Ukraine and the Middle Eastern crisis,
are conditioned by the outcome of this election because the two probable
candidates, Biden and Trump, have diametrically opposed positions with
respect to the two conflicts and the conditioning power of what is
considered to be the leading world power from an economic and military
point of view will certainly influence the development and resolution of
conflicts. In particular, it is hypothesized that Biden's reconfirmation
will allow the continuation of support for Ukraine, given the
commitments of this administration in the ongoing war, due to the
economic and strategic interests that the United States has in the
conduct of the war.
Conversely, the isolationist tendency of the Republicans, well expressed
by Trump's positions, could lead to a disengagement of the United States
from the conflict, the weight of which would fall entirely on the
European Union and on a NATO deprived of the main US support. In this
case, a recomposition of the conflict would be inevitable in light of
the fact that the European Union is not able to withstand the
confrontation militarily and is already struggling to support it
economically, proof of which is that the budgets of the various states
are in crisis and very strong are the social tensions and economic
consequences of engaging in the war effort and supporting the 8 million
Ukrainian refugees.
It is difficult to speculate on what the effects of one or the other
choice of US voters would be in the case of the conflict in the Middle
East since the positions that the two candidates have on the ongoing
crisis are already unclear.
However, full success for Israel, with the total genocide of the
Palestinians and their expulsion from both Gaza and the West Bank,
appears not only undesirable but difficult to achieve. Only fanatics
like Netanyahu and the religious leaders of the Israeli right can think
of an Israel that has full control of all of Palestine, totally erasing
the Palestinian presence. In light of these considerations, the current
US administration's hypothesis of a two-state solution, although very
difficult to implement, appears to be the only one that is in some way
viable, even if with extremely great difficulties.
It appears even more difficult to evaluate the impact that the two
candidates would have on the development of global policies and
especially economic ones, also because at the moment a reorganization of
the international distribution of work, of the control of markets, of
access to materials and first, of energy management, for which it
appears difficult to predict what could be the most credible scenarios
for the evolution of the economic and strategic situation, as well as of
international relations, especially since the growing importance and the
increasingly strengthened by the BRICS group, which will certainly play
a fundamental role in the future economic and strategic structures of
the planet.
However, voters largely orient their vote on the basis of internal
politics and the immediate needs that emerge from their concrete living
and working conditions: on the basis of this consideration, the problems
on which the interest of the US electorate will presumably focus are
those of the concrete economic conditions and of the labor market, of
emigration and, in the field of civil rights, the right to resort to
abortion, connected to the exercise of responsible and free motherhood,
to gender policies and to the protection of diversity.
Well, the growing difficulties on the job market, the cost of energy and
fuel have affected many citizens of the deep country and in the
comparison between before and after, they see a worsening of their
condition with the Biden administration, and this despite the economy
going through a relatively positive phase, what worries the electorate
is the growth of emigration, above all, towards the liberal areas of the
country, such as New York, which leads the democratic and liberal
electorate above all to be critical of the policies of party.. The
Supreme Court's decision to sanction the right to abortion has mobilized
a part of the liberal electorate and will presumably continue to do so,
but above all at a decentralized level, since the initiatives focus on
the policies of the States that derogate from the Supreme Court's
guidelines , given the difficulties of changing its orientation: judges
once appointed are not members for life. It is therefore possible that
we are moving towards a sort of balkanization of the country's legal
system regarding this problem, with the adoption of different policies
from state to state.
The same goes for gender policies which find resistance and opposition,
as always, spread across the territory in a patchy pattern with more
open and liberal states and communities and others which instead orient
themselves towards conservative and fundamentalist positions. Both of
these choices lead to distancing oneself from voting on the occasion of
elections federal elections.
It is for this set of reasons that the final outcome of the US elections
appears more uncertain than ever and the events that will develop in the
coming months will be crucial and decisive and will orient an electorate
that is in any case dissatisfied with having to choose between two
octogenarians, tired of a politics of contrast between Biden and Trump.

The European elections

All the countries of the Union will also vote for the election of
community bodies. It will be necessary to see whether the current
government majority, made up of an alliance between socialists, liberals
and the Christian Democratic centre, will continue to govern the Union,
doing without an organic relationship with the conservatives who present
themselves as the true unknown factor in the future balance of power.
management of community tasks. In the case of a reconfirmation of the
alliance between socialists, Christian Democrats and liberals, the
tendency to reconfirm the current orientations in terms of green
politics will be very strong, even if there will be pressure from those
groups and forces pushing towards the banking union, the adoption of a
common tax system, closer relations between the different states of the
union, with the ever-increasing transfer to Brussels of the actual
powers of management of macroeconomic policies and vice versa an
increase in autonomies on the periphery, which would act as
administrative terminals of the management centralized at community level.
Instead, the inclusion in the majority of the conservative group, both
in the case that this entails marginalization of the socialists, and in
the hypothesis that this entry occurs by adding the conservative
component to the current alliance of management of the Union, we would
still witness a accentuation of the structure of the Union in a federal
sense, with the loosening of ties at community level and the growth of
the autonomy of individual states.
In any case, there is no doubt that the new mandate of the European
Commission will have to face key and unavoidable strategic problems such
as that of equipping itself with a common defense, choosing which
relationship to develop with the BRICS countries, deciding which policy
to pursue towards Africa is determined to take clear positions in its
relations with both Russia and China. In fact, there is no doubt that
the world is starting to increasingly assume a multipolar structure
within which the European Union is only one of the economic-productive
islands that compete on a global scale to compete for hegemony and the
construction of new balances and relationships.
As regards the weight of domestic problems on community policy, it is
noted that with the expansion of membership and the entry of new
countries, the Union is destined to see an addition to the many existing
problems relating to common defence, to relations between center and
periphery , to the institutional dynamics concerning decision-making
processes (whether or not to operate by majority or unanimity) will see
the addition of the currently underestimated problem of the growing
crisis of the common agricultural policy which - it is worth remembering
- has been one of the most solid bases on which the European Union is
founded. I would never tire enough of underlining that Ukraine's sudden
entry into the union - due to the problems it brings with it - plays a
destabilizing role with respect to cohesion policies and certainly does
not help the overall economic development of the member states of this
aggregate. In particular, the conditions of the rule of law in the
country, the extent of the corruption phenomenon, the hydrogeological
instability resulting from the war, the pollution of the soil, the
disastrous management of the after-effects of a devastating conflict
which will weigh like a burden are having a negative impact. on the
shoulders of all the countries that are currently part of the European
Union.
The consequences of this unfortunate choice risk being to accentuate the
weight of the right-wing parties which forcefully propose to manage this
discontent, proof of which is the emergence in all countries of more or
less strong and consistent peasant parties, aligned on conservative and
identitarian positions.
The European Union cannot simultaneously support the implementation of
green policies which requires sacrifices and painful choices in the
agricultural sector compared to the industrial and manufacturing sector
and the introduction of further elements of crisis, consisting of
enlargement to countries that require a long phase of collaboration to
amalgamate from the structural point of view and the distribution of
work and production quotas with the bloc of countries that have been
part of the EU for a long time.

A multipolar world

The new rulers who will be selected by the electoral orgy will however
have to deal with a group of BRICS countries, now 10, which manage over
40% of world production and trade, which see within them the presence of
the major producers of energy, thus controlling the energy market, which
include regional powers with imperial aspirations, which aspire to
reconstruct and attribute to themselves a dimension of regional powers,
configuring a plate world, which follows the tectonic structure of the
physical world in outlining the areas of expansion of their influence.
In fact, there is no doubt that a strategic political space is being
consolidated in which Turkey, one of the Arab and Islamic countries,
operates, while China and India do the same. already having continental
dimensions and therefore they aspire to control and expand their area of
influence. The same can also be said for the areas that are organized
around the countries of the South Pacific, or around Japan which is
making the choice to rearmament, while Latin and Central America and
Africa which in fact they will constitute the terrain on which we will
try to build hegemony.
The ambitions of US politicians and strategists who dream and work for
an ethnic fragmentation of the immense Russian territory and who have
the same aims and objectives for China and why not for India appear
completely futuristic, at least for now. In an increasingly multipolar
and polycentric world, those who survive are the political economic
entities that form a system, in some way self-sufficient, capable of
developing synergies and distribution of work within themselves in a
protected environment, differentiated roles through which they
contribute to keeping the increasingly complex economic systems and
societies. Microsystems or even worse the dream of a hegemonic country
that dominates over others has definitively faded, regardless of what
the rulers of the United States and those dying and dying of Great
Britain think.

The Editorial Staff

https://www.ucadi.org/2024/01/23/lorgia-elettorale/
_________________________________________
A - I N F O S  N E W S  S E R V I C E
By, For, and About Anarchists
Send news reports to A-infos-en mailing list
A-infos-en@ainfos.ca