Romania ---- The street demonstrations in favor of Calin Georgescu, the
right-wing sovereign candidate for the presidential elections, continuein Romania. He saw the elections in which he had collected the majority
of votes annulled, when the voting operations for the second round had
already begun. Two candidates, both from the right, had gone to the
ballot. His success was the result of the opposition's inability to find
a unified candidate and of the fact that the government coalition, led
by the Social Democratic Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu, which managed to
obtain the majority after the parliamentary elections, is considered by
the majority of voters to be responsible for the corruption prevailing
in the country.
In fact, if it is true that Georgescu is a questionable candidate for
his rather singular ideas on abortion - which he would like to ban,
aliens - which he says he has met, vaccines - which he considers
ineffective, who denies the existence of Covid, forcefully denounces the
deterioration of the economic situation and the standard of living and
is however pro-Russian, and a firm opponent of supporting the Ukrainians
at war. This mix of positions has allowed him to gather consensus in
several environments including the anti-vax ones who have also had
support within the powerful Romanian Orthodox Church, but it is above
all the positions against the war that have provided him with the
greatest support. His share of consensus remains high because Georgescu
is the only candidate who takes on the problems of the Romanian
minorities oppressed within the borders of Ukraine and victims of a
process of forced Ukrainization implemented by the Kiev regime that
prohibits the use of Romanian as a language and denies religious
freedom. For these reasons, Romanian nationalism is linked to the
discomfort for the corruption of the Romanian political class, as
demonstrated by the behavior of the former President of the Republic
Klaus Iohannis, who resigned because he was threatened with impeachment,
constituting the basis of consensus for the populist. Faced with the
danger represented by Georgescu, the Romanian establishment found
nothing better than to accuse him of a coup d'état, using the fact that
to guarantee his safety the populist candidate surrounded himself with
bodyguards belonging to a security agency made up of mercenaries who
reproduce a historic organization of the Romanian fascist right, the
Iron Guard, towards which the political sympathies of the candidate go,
who does not fail to refer to this anti-Semitic formation that has
devastated the democratic life of Romania. Therefore, the government
ordered the arrest just as he was re-presenting your candidacy and the
Constitutional Court decided to exclude him from being eligible for the
next elections on May 4, while the government parties are preparing to
present a joint candidacy and the right to present two candidacies,
dividing their forces once again.
In the meantime, as has happened in other European countries, mainstream
Europeanists have organized demonstrations in support of Ukraine. In
Romania, the task has been entrusted to the association "Declic,
resistance and corruption".
See also: Political Observatory. Published on March 2, 2025 by Ucadi in
Number 194 - February 2025, Newsletter, Year 2025; Romanian-style coup
d'état, Published on January 2, 2025 by Ucadi in Newsletter, Number 192
- December 2024, Year 2024 and tagged nato, elections, war, coup d'état,
Romania.
Serbia
Massive demonstrations continue to shake the political stability of
Serbia Accusing the government of promoting widespread corruption, of
poor democracy and control over the media, the protests that have
students as their main supporters, seem to take on all the
characteristics of an "orange revolution", like those that have put
governments that see Russia as their privileged interlocutor in crisis.
Serbian President Vucic is accused of being morally responsible for the
deaths of 15 people in the collapse of a shelter at the Novi Sad
station, for not having arranged the appropriate checks on construction
sites and of being the final terminal of corruption in the political
system. But what worries more than anything else is the deterioration of
the economic situation and the standard of living.
The opposition movement is calling for early elections and it is not
excluded that the President will decide to accept the request, having
demonstrated several times that he controls the deepest and most
pervasive apparatuses of Serbian society, while the demonstrators seem
to be looking to the European Union which, however, is increasingly
postponing Serbia's accession to the Union, favoring the entry of
Ukraine to the detriment of Balkan countries that have been candidates
for decades. For this reason too, the Serbian government continues to
demonstrate its support for Russia, receiving in exchange all the
support necessary for the recovery of the Balkan areas inhabited by
Serbs, such as parts of Kosovo and even more so the territory of the
Bosnian entity, the Republic of Srpska, to the motherland with the aim
of rebuilding greater Serbia. To regain consensus and counter the
pressure from the square, Vucic, in agreement with the Serbian Orthodox
Church, wants to convene a Sobor (assembly of all social components) to
prepare for the electoral clash. The game is still all to play for and
Vucic is counting on winning it.
Greenland
On March 12, 2025, legislative elections were held in Greenland that for
the first time aroused interest worldwide due to Trump's growing
interest in the island that has just 57,000 inhabitants, of which almost
90% are Inuit. The island, long disputed between Denmark and Norway, is
a Danish possession, which became autonomous from the EU in 1985, which
lives thanks to a subsidy of over 565 million dollars, equivalent to a
fifth of its GDP, since its economy, currently based on fishing
revenues, is not sufficient to support its budget.
The interest of the island is not only geostrategic because it controls
the Arctic routes, but also as an outpost for the location of radar
systems and military bases for missile defense-attack between the United
States and Russia.
To its inhabitants, Trump has proposed joining the United States,
promising to make them rich and this is because he aims to have the
exclusive right to access its potential mineral resources and the now
legendary rare earths. The United States has already solved the
strategic problem because they have owned numerous bases on the island
since the Second World War for which they pay rent, while the prospects
for mining appear to be problematic in the future since they depend on
the further melting of the ice, which however seems certain, and in any
case on the persistence of prohibitive climatic conditions that until
now have prevented real economic exploitation of the potential resources
present on the island.
The Greenlanders distrust Trump because they know the rapacity of the
Americans and despite this, all the parties that elected the 31 deputies
to the Parliament want independence, but with different times and
methods and maintaining relations with Denmark which, due to its
distance from the coasts of the island, represents a guarantee of
greater independence than that constituted by a link with the United States.
The independence party that won the elections will however have to form
a government coalition since there is not a sufficient majority for a
single-color government. It will be appropriate to keep the situation
under observation, also because Trump seems to have every intention of
including control of Greenland in a global negotiation with Russia and
China.
Syria
With the massacre of the Alawites and Christians of the province of
Tartus, the new Syrian regime has revealed its true face, which is more
than well known. The not so ex-jihadists, now in government, have
committed genocide, with more than 1,200 deaths, preparing to manage a
balkanized Syria, fragmented into as many entities as there are
religious affiliations, and all this for the joy and glory of Israel.
Having come to power, supported by Turkey, which aimed to acquire a part
of the Syrian territory, the former ISIS cutthroats have allowed Israel
to reach the gates of Damascus, deserving to maintain control over the
Sunni sector of Syria, allowing the presence of a mini-Alawite entity on
the coast, probably the birth of a Kurdish entity, appropriately
controlled, on condition that the process of normalization of relations
between the Kurds and Erdogan proceeds quickly in Turkey. Little other
space would be left for other religious entities.
The one who would gain from a non-existent Syria as a multi-ethnic and
multi-religious entity is certainly Israel, which would have no limits
to the expansion of its dominion over the area, realizing one of the
preconditions for successfully bringing the acquisition of the West Bank
to fruition, deluding itself into thinking it has eradicated the
Palestinians from Gaza. The management of this geopolitical
reorganization of the area is headed by the United States and Turkey and
has Israel as its first beneficiary, to the detriment of future peace in
the Middle East, while Russia is doing everything it can to maintain its
presence in Tartus as long as possible, offering the Syrian entity in
government the food aid it desperately needs.
Argentina
Milei's idyll with the Argentine electorate was shattered by the loss of
over 100 million dollars for the 40,000 subscribers hooked on the stock
market raid of the Libra cryptocurrency, sponsored by the Argentine
President. Less skilled than his epigone Trump, who did the same,
speculating on electronic currencies, Milei's collapse makes more noise
than that caused by the negligence and complicity that made it possible,
replicating the well-known "Ponzi scheme" that shook international
finance years ago.
To counterbalance the result of the ongoing investigations, the
government goes on the counterattack and responds by investigating
pensioners for "sedition, attack on the constitutional order and
criminal association", starving due to poverty that has grown in the
last six months by 13 points, going from 40% to 53% of the population. A
plot is reported that would have been hatched by the Kirchnerians, who
used pensioners and benefited from the support of football team ultras
who took to the streets alongside them, to attack the government's
stability.
The protests have brought to light a deep malaise that has its origins
in the government's dramatic cuts to social spending reduced by 1/3.
30,000 public employees have been fired, funds for soup kitchens and
subsidies have been eliminated, while healthcare and education have
suffered heavy cuts, food consumption has fallen by 13.9% in 2024, and
food costs have become the highest in Latin America. The result is a
level of social hardship so great that it has surpassed that of 2001,
when Argentina's living conditions had been reduced to starvation. Milei
boasts of having reduced the rate of growth of 12.8% in prices to 2.4%,
declaiming the merits of what he calls the Argentine miracle, but the
price paid to achieve this result is the blackest hunger for the
majority of the population. All this is happening while profits are
growing and the president is enriching himself with fraudulent
speculation. This explains why for months, every Wednesday, pensioners
have been taking to the streets in front of Congress. The iron fist of
the police has sparked strong controversy. Taking note of their reasons,
Judge Karina Andrade ordered the release of the arrested demonstrators
after twenty-four hours. Next Wednesday it will be repeated.
China and Africa
The map shows the investments in infrastructure in the African continent
made, designed, and under construction by China. Some of these
infrastructures are owned by China or managed by companies that are part
of China, others are in congestion with the host countries. All of them,
taken together, constitute a network of presences that give the idea of
the articulation of the commercial structure built by China with a
projection towards the future development of its trade. These
investments actually constitute a structural enrichment also for the
States that host them, since they are immovable structures that
nevertheless represent a possibility and a development perspective for
the host country and summarize the philosophy that moves the structure
of the relations that China intends to establish with the African continent.
These port areas are often connected to each other by railway lines or
roadways necessary to route the extracted raw materials, including oil,
towards the ports, while the construction of structures such as oil and
gas pipelines intended to serve the internal needs of the States on the
territory is not excluded in the future. One of the objectives of
Chinese penetration is in fact the loyalty of the market for the
products of its industry and the promotion of development so that the
local market is able to increase the quantity and value of trade through
the ever-increasing economic availability of local consumers.
This philosophy of economic investment overturns and surpasses that
which guided colonial logic, which produced the growing rejection of the
presence of Europeans, who used forms of exploitation of robbery that
were much more crude and brutal and ultimately counterproductive.
The Russian presence has a different character, which in many cases
travels at the same time and in competition with the Chinese one and is
characterized by political-military support for the government regimes
of the territory and often derives its presence from the maintenance of
good relations with the authorities and local politics. The Sino-Russian
political partnership, their joint presence within the BEICS provide, in
addition to the considerable volume of investments, the guarantees
necessary to ensure the success and marginalization of European and
American competitors.
The Editorial Staff
https://www.ucadi.org/2025/03/21/osservatorio-politico-3/
_________________________________________
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