WORLD WORLDWIDE SOUTH AMERICA BRAZIL BRASIL - news journal UPDATE - (en) Brazil, OSL: I ConOSL - Medium-Term Analysis of the Situation (1985-2024) (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

 Document approved at the 3rd session of the 1st Congress of the

Libertarian Socialist Organization (ConOSL), held in July 2025 ---- Read
the document in PDF format
https://socialismolibertario.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Conjuntura-de-Medio-Prazo-1985-2024.pdf
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"To understand what is happening (the situation), it is necessary to
think correctly. And thinking correctly means ordering and processing,
appropriately, the vast amount of data produced about reality. Thinking
correctly is an indispensable condition for correctly analyzing what is
happening in a country, at a given moment in the history of that country
or any other. This requires[...]a system of concepts, a theory.[...]To
propose a program, it is necessary to know the economic, political, and
ideological reality of our country. And the same goes for formulate a
sufficiently clear and concrete political line.[...]The party needs a
clear framework to coherently reflect on the country and the
region[...]throughout history. We need an effective repository to
organize the growing mass of data regarding our economic, political, and
ideological reality. And we need a method for processing this data. To
determine which are the most important, which should be used first and
which should be used later. This way, we can correctly manage our
available forces for each work front. Uruguayan Anarchist Federation 1972
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Document approved at the 3rd session of the 1st Congress of the
Libertarian Socialist Organization (ConOSL), held in July 2025

SUMMARY

INTRODUCTION
Libertarian social theory and the Brazilian situation

ASPECTS OF THE INTERNATIONAL SITUATION
Three periods in global power relations
Crisis of the socialist bloc in the context of the Cold War
US imperialism and its global hegemony
Re-emergence of China, Russia, and the BRICS
Neoliberalism, transnational oligopolies, and growing inequalities
Liberal consensus and liberalization of the left
Neoliberal culture, knowledge, and beliefs
Global environmental collapse
Structural and conjunctural dimensions of the economic crisis
Liberal democracy in check and the rise of the far right
Women, the LGBT+ community, and patriarchy
Racialized, Indigenous, and Racism
Other contributions on the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America
Interstate Wars and Civil Wars
Class Struggle, Popular Movements, and the Revival of Anarchism
Facing Neoliberalism, Authoritarianism, and National Oppression
Facing Racism, Patriarchy, and Environmental Destruction

ASPECTS OF THE BRAZILIAN CURRENT SITUATION
Effects of US Imperialism in Brazil
Economic Imperialism: The Role of the IMF and International Corporations
Political and Cultural Imperialism: The Influence on Bureaucracy and
Ideological Submission
China-Russia Bloc and BRICS as an Anti-Imperialist Alternative for Brazil?
Five Periods of Recent Economic and Political History
Guardian Transition, Crisis, and Inflation (1985-1990/4)
Implementation and Consolidation of Neoliberalism (1990-2002)
Attempts to Reconcile Neoliberalism with Social Policies or Social
Liberalism (2003-2015)
New crisis, coup d'état, and neoliberalism on the rise (2016-2022)
Broad Front between social liberalism and neoliberalism (2023- )
Economy, society, and social inequality
Cities, public services, organized crime, and the manufacturing industry
Countryside, reprimarization, and agribusiness
Conformation of the contemporary political field
Governmental milestones in the five periods of recent history
Sarney and Collor administrations (1985-1992)
Itamar and FHC administrations (1992-2002)
Lula and Dilma administrations (2003-2016)
Temer and Bolsonaro administrations (2016-2022)
Lula-Alckmin administration (2023- )
1988 Constitution and Executive-Legislative relations
Bureaucratization of the left and expansion of Far-right
Party politics and electoral forces
Political role of the Armed Forces and the Judiciary
Monopolies in the press and social media
Evangelicals, Prosperity Theology, and Dominion Theology
Neoliberal ideology, think tanks, and entrepreneurship
Education and research under neoliberalism
Social classes and class struggle in contemporary Brazil
Ruling classes, capital, and property
Oppressed classes: proletariat, peasantry, and others
Trade unions and union organizations
Environmental issues and environmental degradation
Gender and sexuality, women and LGBT+ people
Race and ethnicity, Black people and indigenous peoples
Popular struggles, articulations, and movements in the city and countryside
Feminist, LGBT+, Black, Indigenous, and environmental mobilizations

INTRODUCTION

LIBERTARIAN SOCIAL THEORY AND THE BRAZILIAN CURRENT

1. This document summarizes the results of a study conducted by our
organization, which aimed to apply the foundations of libertarian
materialism/realism and the libertarian social theory we advocate to
understanding the Brazilian medium-term situation, covering the period
from 1985 to 2024. The foundations of this libertarian
materialism/realism, as well as this libertarian social theory, were
outlined in a previous document, "Our Principles and General Strategy,"
which can be read online and in book form. It contains the theoretical
and methodological foundations of this study.

2. However, before presenting this study, it is important to understand
what it is and what it is not. It is not a study of the structure of
capitalism-statism, nor of the Brazilian social formation, which serve
to inform our general strategy. Nor is it a simple study of the
Brazilian situation, with a short-term approach, that serves to inform
our tactics. At other times, we have dedicated ourselves to such
studies, which are also fundamental and should be considered
complementary to this one. This analysis is a study of the current
situation-which we have defined elsewhere as "a scenario composed of the
set of events[...]that mark everyday social life"-but of the medium-term
situation. It addresses Brazil over the last four decades, attempting to
extrapolate the most immediate interpretations and assess more lasting
trends, which accompany longer-term economic, political, and cultural
cycles.

3. Considering, as Alfredo Errandonea teaches us, that Brazil has always
been inserted into an international system of domination and has
remained a dependent, subordinate, and peripheral country, this analysis
of the medium-term situation is divided into two parts. The first
presents aspects of the international situation, which we consider
relevant to understanding not only the functioning of the contemporary
world but also its impacts on Brazil. The second presents aspects of the
Brazilian situation that we consider relevant to understanding Brazil
between 1985 and 2024. It's important to note that many of the data
presented about the world and Brazil are large averages; and we mustn't
forget that these averages often hide immense class, national, and
regional inequalities. Since this is not an academic work, we chose not
to cite the many sources we used. Besides being an activist study, doing
so would take up a significant amount of space in an already extensive
body of material. Hundreds of books, academic studies, journalistic
articles, and institutional reports were used. The numerous data
presented were taken from this material, from international databases
and studies (such as the World Bank, IMF, UN, OECD, Oxfam, etc.) and
national databases (IBGE, IPEA, ILAESE, DIEESE, etc.).

ASPECTS OF THE INTERNATIONAL SITUATION

THREE PERIODS IN GLOBAL POWER RELATIONS

4. Observing the entire international reality, a central aspect of the
situation between 1985 and 2024 concerns the scenarios that resulted
from the global power relations established between the great national
powers in those years. Initially, extending into the 1990s, the world
witnessed the final years of the Cold War and the consequent
bipolarization between the United States (US) and the Soviet Union
(USSR). However, due to the crisis that struck the so-called socialist
bloc-the most important milestone of which was the end of the USSR in
1991 (and, to a lesser extent, the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989)-the
world entered a second period, the longest lasting in the years
analyzed, of absolute and unipolar US hegemony. As a result, US
imperialism expanded globally, economically, politically, and
culturally. However, due to the constant shift in reality, it has become
increasingly evident in recent years that the world has entered a third
period, characterized by the emergence of China's international social
power and, along with it, the resurgence of Russia and, to some extent,
the global South. Almost all major recent international events are
related to or directly explained by the US reaction to this loss of
global power.

CRISIS OF THE SOCIALIST BLOC IN THE CONTEXT OF THE COLD WAR

https://socialismolibertario.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Conjuntura-de-Medio-Prazo-1985-2024.pdf

https://socialismolibertario.net/2025/09/16/analise-de-conjuntura-de-medio-prazo/
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