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donderdag 7 november 2024

WORLD WORLDWIDE EUROPE ITALY - news journal UPDATE - (en) Italy, UCADI #190 - Parallel Wars (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]


Among the more than 40 conflicts that bloody the planet, the one between
Ukraine and Russia and between Israel and its neighbors are notable for
the high number of victims, the persistent duration, the ferocity in
involving civilian populations, the importance with respect to
geostrategic balances, but also the dominance and weight of nationalism
and the imposition of identity contents. The affinities do not end here,
even if the approach developed by Western governments uses a double
standard, allowing Israel everything that Russia is accused of in its
behavior towards Ukraine.
As is known, the first conflict would have begun on February 24, 2022
with the "special operation" evaluated by Russia with which it was
intended to implement a change of political regime in Kiev, while it
should be traced back to the events of Maidan Square in 2014.[1]which
was followed by the occupation of Crimea, the insurrection of the
eastern provinces of the country and the beginning of the civil war. The
second is said to have begun with the terrorist action organized by
Hamas on October 7, 2023, forgetting the Israeli massacres previously
committed in Gaza and the West Bank, and the choice to bypass the
Palestinian question, counting on the effects of the so-called "Abraham
Accords", with which the United States and Israel intended and intend to
redraw the economic, political and strategic assets of the Middle
East[2]. Today, Israel responds to this terrorist act with state
terrorism, not only against the Palestinian population of the Gaza
Strip, repressing and expropriating the rights and assets of the
population of the occupied West Bank, attacking Lebanon, Syria and any
other country it believes to include among its enemies, having Iran as
its main objective with the more or less manifest consent of a part of
the Arab countries.

Double standards

As for Ukraine, the United States and the West have cried out about
aggression, about the violation of the integrity of the Ukrainian state,
while remaining silent about the quiescent role in the Ukrainian crisis
that has long been manifested by the countries that took part in and
signed the Minsk agreements one and two (France, Germany, Great Britain
and Russia), later disavowed; declaring that they signed them to gain
time. After almost three years of war, everyone has understood that the
reasons for the Ukrainian conflict lie not only in the geostrategic
interests of the United States and the West on one side and Russia on
the other, but also in the objective, achieved by England and the United
States of putting the German economy and the production model and the
economy of the European Union area into crisis, depriving it of low-cost
energy (oil and gas), supplied in partnership by Russia, which allowed
the industry and the production model of the European Union, led by
Germany, to be a valid economic competitor of the countries of the North
Atlantic area and at the same time a privileged economic and commercial
partner of China.
On the other hand, the destruction, through the Ukrainians, of the Nord
Stream Two, the declared main objective of the conflict and the
consequent restructuring of the oil and gas supplies of the European
countries (with a consequent increase in energy costs), are there to
testify to the truthfulness of these reasons that act as a cover for the
operation of Ukrainian nationalism to free itself from economic and
strategic relations with Russia. Another element that should not be
underestimated in reconstructing the causes of the conflict is the
ongoing hegemonic clash between the Patriarchate of Moscow and that of
Constantinople, which are competing for hegemony over the Orthodox
diaspora, with the aim of the Ecumenical Patriarchate to make the
Orthodox component the fifth constitutive pillar of the
cultural-religious area of the European Union. For Israel, which has
long cultivated otherness with Hamas, instrumentally fueling its power
over the population of the Gaza Strip, the ferocity of the terrorist
action has constituted the justification for a genocide of the
Palestinian population that today is around 50,000 dead and that shows
no sign of ending as far as the Gaza Strip is concerned, while Israeli
repressive action continues and intensifies in the West Bank and in the
Lebanese territories bordering the Jewish state, with the aim of
building a greater Israel, retracing the biblical dimensions, from the
Jordan to the sea, of the Jewish confessional state, massacring the
indigenous Palestinian population to the point of extinction, as the
most radical components of Jewish Zionism (read Jewish nationalism)
predict, accusing those who oppose this policy of anti-Semitism.
Instead of analyzing the causes and effects of what was happening,
Western countries, and Italy for that matter, chose to side with
Ukraine, considered a "democratic" country to be opposed to a
dictatorship, the Russian one, when in fact they are two very similar
political regimes, both oligarchic and illiberal. Ukraine was also
considered an attacked country, taking on the costs of the proxy war
waged by the country against Russia, seen as the enemy to be defeated
before being hit by its aggressiveness. The Ukrainian government, in
exchange for the massacre of its people, for their dispersion in the
countries of the Union, - at least of those who intelligently refuse
war, (more than 10 million), - in exchange for the destruction of the
country and the massacre of its surviving population, in the name of a
crude and obtuse, Nazi-like nationalism, the fruit of ancient
suggestions that have their roots in the national socialist and
reactionary ideologies of Central Europe, has allowed that on the bloody
battlefields of the east of the country two armies are now facing each
other to contain the possession of a territory whose populations have
been historically united by deep ties and are from now on divided by
death and hatred. Likewise, the uncritical support for Israel and its
imperialist policy and the annexation of territories, has overlooked the
fact constituted by the prevalence in the country of Zionism, or Jewish
nationalism, just as crude and Nazi-like as the Ukrainian one, a
supporter of the same theories of racial superiority that characterized
Nazism, today applied towards the Palestinian population, considered by
the Jews who emigrated to Israel as usurpers of the territory and to be
exterminated, in order to settle the chosen people, namely the Jewish
people. These "misunderstandings" in assessing what is happening have
meant that European governments could side with Ukraine, depressing the
economies of Western European states, damaging its welfare, introducing
reasons for resentment and discomfort for the policies of favor towards
Ukrainian refugees, economically supporting a proxy war that cannot be
won, if only because of the evident disproportion of forces between the
two contenders, as demonstrated by what is happening on the battlefield.
In order to achieve this goal, they have placed on the shoulders of the
people of the countries belonging to the union all the costs of a failed
state like the Ukrainian one, from pensions to salaries, from health
care to energy, from the cost of weapons in exchange for unlikely future
earnings for those who will have to rebuild the country. The sense of
guilt still alive in the people of Europe, due to the Shoah, has so far
allowed the criminal activities of the government of Israel to be hidden
from a large part of public opinion, which is conducting a war with no
holds barred through state terrorism that risks involving the entire
Middle East in a conflict without borders, creating the prelude to a
possible third world war. In doing so, it kills thousands of women and
children, mutilates the limbs of the survivors, sows destruction and
hatred destined to become atavistic in the survivors, uses epidemics and
hunger as weapons of extermination, developing a solution to the
Palestinian problem that follows in the method of the instruments the
final solution to the Jewish question, devised by the Nazis. The United
States, engaged on two war fronts, is now faced with the dilemma of
which ally to favor and there is no doubt that, in light of the weight
that the Israeli lobby has in the American electorate and considering
the strategic interests of the United States, intent on redrawing the
assets of the Middle East, they choose to favor Israel in the supply of
weapons systems and ammunition, thus creating a void that cannot be
otherwise filled in the supplies of armaments to Ukraine. In fact, it is
estimated, military experts said, that for every shot fired by the
Ukrainians on the battlefield the Russians can respond with 10 shots,
creating an unbridgeable disproportion in the volume of fire.

The strategic errors of the Ukrainians and the demagogy of Zelensky

The undoubted qualities of Zelensky as a procurer of funding and
political and economic support to proceed with the massacre of the
Ukrainian people are largely counterbalanced by the emergence of
Hitlerian-type behavior in the actions of the Ukrainian President, who,
with the passing of the months at war and by dint of wearing military
clothing, ended up believing himself to be a great strategist like
Hitler, imposing his own strategic choices on his army, through General
Syrs'kyj, prone to obeying his orders.
With the Ukrainian army engaged on the fronts to counter the Russian
attack, the training of recruits has been entrusted to NATO instructors,
who adopt different strategies and methods of battle than the Russian
ones. They theorize the extreme mobility of the troops, technologically
well equipped, who act in small groups and are able to conduct actions
characterized by extreme mobility on the territory, but incapable or in
any case unsuitable to fight a war of positions and trenches. From these
preconditions arose the "political" initiative of the incursion into the
Kursk region. The declared objective of the initiative was to force
Russia to move part of its troops into its attacked territory and
therefore to ease the pressure on the Donbass fronts, but it is known
that this did not happen and Russia managed to mobilize about 50,000 men
who are gradually eliminating the Kursk pocket. And this while the
Donbass front is in danger of collapsing and the Ukrainian strongholds
active since 2014 are falling one by one, freeing the way for the
Russian army to reach what appears to be its real objective, namely the
banks of the Dnper River and, going up from the Dnipro bend to the ridge
towards Sumy that leads to the border, they would cut Ukraine in two. If
this were the case, the country would have no choice but to negotiate
peace and the demilitarization of the remaining Ukrainian territory,
with all due respect to the European countries.

Zelensky's Peace Plan and His Nuclear Dream

Aware of this danger, Zelensky and his entourage have developed the
so-called "victory plan" which, rather than a negotiation platform with
Russia to which there are no concessions - which makes the plan
impracticable - constitutes a negotiation platform of the Ukrainians
with the countries of the European Union and the West and contains the
conditions under which the skin of the Ukrainians and their future life
is offered hostage to be used as praetorians, in exchange for
reconstruction, investments and offering in exchange the exploitation of
the country's natural resources.
The so-called victory plan, developed by Zelensky and his entourage,
consists of 5 points and three annexes that have remained secret. The
Ukrainian President asks that his country be allowed to join NATO
immediately (1) and yet he knows well that as long as the country is at
war this is not possible, pursuant to the founding statutes of the
Alliance. There is a well-founded suspicion that Zelensky has a tool to
put pressure on the Alliance, consisting of the threat of independently
producing plutonium devices that the Ukrainians would have stolen,
recovering them, from the Chernobyl plant that produced it at the
beginning of hostilities, with the aim of more effectively countering
the advance of the Russian army. From this perspective, joining NATO
would allow Ukraine to be kept under greater control, preventing these
initiatives from involving the West in a nuclear war and at the same
time offering the country the protection it requires. Having become
members of the alliance, the Ukrainians would be trained to use all
types of weapons to strike Russia internally, receiving help in shooting
down missiles and drones on Ukrainian territory, without the so-called
red lines (2). Furthermore, the Ukrainian territory should host
non-nuclear strategic deterrent weapons to protect the country,
including possibly military bases of allied countries, radar stations
and listening stations for Russian activities, i.e. making real the
fears that led Russia to invade Ukraine and to ask for its
demilitarization and its non-entry into NATO; furthermore, the Ukrainian
president has taken on the burden and pleasure of drawing up a list of
weapons that he would like to have and has informed Western leaders of
this (3).
In exchange for all this, Ukraine offers the European Union and the
United States the signature of an agreement for the exploitation of
"critical resources possessed by Ukraine, such as lithium, gas and
titanium, and to produce energy together in the future." Resources that
it no longer has since they are largely located in the territories
occupied by Russia. (4)
As a final point, Zelensky argues that with the end of the war he will
be able to participate in improving European security, thanks to the
contribution of his armed forces that are particularly skilled and
accustomed to combat.
So much so that he literally states: "If the partners agree, we plan to
replace some military contingents of the US armed forces stationed in
Europe with Ukrainian units after the war. The Ukrainians have shown
that they can be a force that Russian evil cannot overcome". In other
words, the Ukrainian president imagines for his people a future of
soldiers of fortune that does not seem to gain the consensus of the
majority of the country, given the exponential increase in draft dodgers
and deserters who refuse to go to war.
For our part, we believe more modestly that Zelensky is thinking about
how to place on the labor market, once the war is over, a mass of
veterans and strays, unaccustomed to a civil and peaceful life,
unsuitable for work, accustomed to earning a living with the violence
and abuse that characterizes the many formations of "volunteers" who
formed the backbone of the Ukrainian army and the shock mass that
operated in Donbass during the civil war to the detriment of the
population. That said, it seems time for the West to realize what a
crazy megalomaniac it is dealing with and how much arrogance there is in
the little acrobat from Kiev, too in love with his role as President now
expired, to realize that he is falling ever deeper into a chasm
together, unfortunately, with his country that he evidently does not
love. Hopes, however, are scarce given the incapacity, incompetence, bad
faith, ineptitude that prevails at the top of the European Union.

And Israel? And Palestine?

It is possible, indeed probable and perhaps desirable that the Ukrainian
war will end on the field and bring with it the end of the
misunderstanding of Ukraine as a democratic and liberal state, part of
the European Union, while the war destined to never end is that of
Israel with the Palestinians and its neighbors. The US ambitions to
redesign the Middle East do not take into account the human factor,
constituted by the fact that the hatred and pain sown with both hands
with the tragedy of Gaza and that of the entire Palestinian people, are
destined to leave a trail of violence and resentment that will survive
for generations, indelible in the memory of the survivors. For them, the
adage applies: "he who strikes first strikes laughing, he who strikes
second strikes crying and has nothing to lose". The political and
cultural error of the United States and the West lies in not having
understood the importance and role of memory in the culture of the
peoples who inhabit that part of the planet and the role that they
collectively assign to history and memory. If there is a possibility of
rewriting history, erasing the immense pain spread with both hands among
the peoples of the Middle East, this lies in a new beginning that starts
from a difficult, but perhaps possible, coexistence between different
peoples, called to share the same living space, the same land. This
could only happen if solidarity and coexistence were a shared heritage
based on an effective and real equality of rights and opportunities for
all those who live and live in those territories, as the very
solidaristic origins of the Jewish State attempted to demonstrate and as
today the political experiment underway in nearby Rojava
testifies,[3]where they are laboriously trying to give life to an
egalitarian and secular society, made up of participatory and shared
structures, beyond religious affiliations, cultural differences,
different political opinions, rewriting with a new narrative of
coexistence, the common history of the inhabitants of the territory.
A necessary prerequisite for this to happen would be the disengagement
of the great powers and the various state entities whose interests
interact in these territories from trying to hegemonize and exploit
these populations for their own purposes.
Since this condition appears at least unlikely, while we believe that
the Ukrainian conflict can find a temporary solution, we note that the
Middle Eastern conflict is endemic and destined to last until the end of
history.

Gianni Cimbalo

[1]G. Cimbalo, The evolution of relations between State and Churches in
New Ukraine. In search of Autocephaly, in "Diritto e religioni" 2-2020,
pp. 252-304; ID., The Ukrainian war and the destabilization of
ecumenical relations, Coscienza e libertà, 2021, n° 61/62, pp. 135-144;
ID., The hushed up role of the Churches in the Russian-Ukrainian
conflict, in "Diritto e religioni" n. 2 of 2021, pp. 487-512;
[2]UCADI, Anarchist Communists, the Jewish and Palestinian Questions,
Newsletter Crescita Politica, n. 178, November 2023 - special issue.
[3]The Kurdish People for the Social Revolution, Newsletter Crescita
Politica, N. 156 - February 2022.

https://www.ucadi.org/2024/10/30/guerre-parallele/
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