(en) Anarkismo.net: The civil war in Syria and new conformations in the Arab and Islamic world by Bruno Lima Rocha (en , fr )

If the Syrian government 's defenses are seriously affected , the trend is that the Assad 
regime falls , transforming the Syrian territory in a new Iraq , with the escalation of 
sectarian war reaching absurd levels . ---- Initial Comment : On the eve of a U.S. Navy 
attack against the positions of the government of Hafez al - Assad , bring back the text 
written for the first half of July , forthcoming in the portal . As I explain below , 
unfortunately the Arab Cause and anti - imperialist intentions in the region found 
themselves subordinated to the logic of geopolitical pivots of states such as Turkey , 
Iran and Saudi Arabia . The end of a dictatorial regime ends as the beginning of a civil 
war between Sunnis and Shiites in large scale. The next decade is pure uncertainty in the 
harshest theaters of the board of Eurasia .
 
The Syrian state had been ruled for decades by a triad . The top officers career linked to 
Baath Party ( Arab National ) , a legacy nonprogrammatic the times of pan- Arabism under 
Nasser inspiration , the clan of al - Assad - the current , Bashar , like his father Hafez 
, acting almost as a secular dictators despots , and , not least , by Alawites , an 
offshoot of Shiite Islam origin settled in the region .
 
It is from these relationships that conform alliances both blocks to support challenged 
Baath regime and Assad , as groups that this power against established and 
institutionalized - mingling with the state - are formed . Without falling into illusions 
typical of a more targeted on the western region, the first exclusion is that the sector 
liberal, democratic and secular practically nonexistent in the Syrian rebellion . 
Therefore , the revolt is also fundamental rights does not imply building a stable 
democracy but the rise to power of groups excluded from it by Assad . If there is no 
radical or liberal Democrats believe , still less socialist ideas of any kind are present 
there .
 
The scheme is supported internally by Assad clan and the Alawite magnified by the high 
officers still loyal and urban middle class tied to the state. Externally , it has support 
for a regional power , Iran and Lebanese armed and theocratic party that this country is 
satellite, Hizbalah . The latter tax is Iran's Khomeini , whose intelligence network was 
Syria's your sanctuary hall and in the fight against the Zionist presence in southern 
Lebanon . In addition to Iran and set Shiites in the region - especially the Iraqis , that 
there are government - yet the Syrian government in Putin's Russia is a strategic ally and 
receives this global power supply weapons and currency , as well as diplomatic pressure 
and media .
 
The opposition , with the exception of the Kurds in Syria established , organized in the 
United Democratic Party ( PYD ) , which have links to the Kurdistan Workers Party ( PKK ) 
, is composed of Sunnis and supported , directly or indirectly, for two regional powers . 
Opponents are dissident armed forces , establishing the Free Syrian Army , irregular force 
that the western media mistakenly lists as organic Syrian National Council . This is 
unreal and is more of a distorted mirror than a given situation . In the first line of the 
clashes are militias of all kinds, notably line Wahhabi jihadists , the same Saudi Arabia 
- which supports - including groups from Al - Qaeda . Beside these , fundamentalist 
Salafis also irreconcilable with any proposal secular . The other regional power that 
supports the opposition is Turkey, and it included the refugee camps and certain mobility 
for dissidents in the long common border . Indirectly , the insurgency ends up getting 
support of Israel , through the exercise of air supremacy and followed bombings against 
Syria .
 
Although the Assad regime is a dictatorship bloodless and inhuman , the same methods can 
and should be attributed to their opponents . The suspected use of Sarin gas fell first 
about the Baath forces and , by April 2013, UN investigators revealed evidence of the use 
by the fundamentalist Sunni militias . Recently tenebrous images of a fundamentalist Sunni 
fighters withdrawing the heart of a fallen enemy on the battlefield embody the kind of 
motivation and involvement of irregular anti - Assad militiamen .
 
The expectations for the expansion of democracy and secular thought are today far from the 
Arab Spring and the Syrian Insurgency and Civil War . This space is occupied primarily by 
Sunni jihadist creed , both wahabistas as Salafis . I emphasize that these two lines of 
thought political- religious societies organize Islamized reinforcing behaviors more 
conservative .
Bruno Lima Rocha
 
This text was originally published on Journalism B , printed fortnightly independent 
biweekly Porto Alegre Area .
Related Link : http://estrategiaeanalise.com.br/